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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+6.89vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.25+7.41vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+3.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.25+4.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.97+1.57vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.95+0.60vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.96+2.98vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+1.73vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.67-2.00vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.18+0.37vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-4.09vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.47-2.96vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.45vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.77-3.20vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.46-2.36vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.41-3.41vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.42-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Harvard University2.127.2%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University1.255.0%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University1.948.4%1st Place
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8.97Brown University1.255.9%1st Place
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6.57Boston College1.9710.1%1st Place
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6.6Dartmouth College1.9510.1%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University0.963.7%1st Place
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9.73Salve Regina University1.314.9%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University1.678.8%1st Place
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10.37Dartmouth College1.183.5%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.7%1st Place
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9.04Yale University1.475.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.0%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University0.773.4%1st Place
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12.64Northeastern University0.461.9%1st Place
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12.59Maine Maritime Academy0.411.8%1st Place
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8.14Fordham University1.426.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| William George | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| John Eastman | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Maks Groom | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Jack Derry | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 25.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 24.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.