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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+6.74vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+7.45vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+5.18vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+4.79vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10+0.07vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+5.18vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.04+1.01vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.51-1.54vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.93-0.50vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-0.79vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-4.70vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.06vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-4.02vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.76-4.78vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.48-8.51vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.24-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.18Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.79Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.07Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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11.18Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.54Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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7.46Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.5College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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10.21Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.98Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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14.95Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 9.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Kayla Gibson | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Heidi Meramo | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.