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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+9.02vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+6.74vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+6.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+4.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.58vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+1.51vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35+0.88vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81+1.85vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-1.43vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.10-4.87vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-4.28vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-4.68vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-1.88vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.93-4.24vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-5.19vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-6.36vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.24-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.74Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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8.26Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.88Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.13Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.72Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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11.12Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.76College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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9.81Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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15.0Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heidi Meramo | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
| Kayla Gibson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.