← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.48+3.49vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.20+3.23vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.95+3.58vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.54+5.22vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.86+1.61vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.94+1.07vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy2.05-1.20vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University0.62+3.02vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.07+0.52vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+0.51vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College0.33+1.18vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-2.14vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University0.46-3.21vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.16-4.44vs Predicted
-
15Yale University1.25-4.69vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University0.73-4.81vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.49Harvard University2.4816.7%1st Place
-
5.23Boston College2.2013.2%1st Place
-
6.58Boston College1.958.9%1st Place
-
9.22Tufts University1.544.0%1st Place
-
6.61Brown University1.869.4%1st Place
-
7.07Fordham University1.947.3%1st Place
-
5.8U. S. Military Academy2.0511.2%1st Place
-
11.02Roger Williams University0.622.7%1st Place
-
9.52Northeastern University1.073.9%1st Place
-
10.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.9%1st Place
-
12.18Dartmouth College0.332.1%1st Place
-
9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.8%1st Place
-
9.79Salve Regina University0.463.3%1st Place
-
9.56Tufts University1.164.0%1st Place
-
10.31Yale University1.253.5%1st Place
-
11.19Northeastern University0.732.1%1st Place
-
14.06Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.7% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| James Paul | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| Griffin Lapham | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 8.6% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.