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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.62+9.99vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.33+10.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+3.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.86+2.63vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46+4.81vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.25+4.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy2.05-1.04vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.48-3.51vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.20-3.81vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.54-0.93vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.73+0.46vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-1.50vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.94-6.03vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-4.60vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-5.24vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-1.97vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.16-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.99Roger Williams University0.622.0%1st Place
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12.27Dartmouth College0.332.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College1.958.9%1st Place
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6.63Brown University1.867.7%1st Place
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9.81Salve Regina University0.463.5%1st Place
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10.22Yale University1.253.1%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Military Academy2.0510.5%1st Place
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4.49Harvard University2.4818.6%1st Place
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5.19Boston College2.2013.7%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University1.544.5%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University0.732.4%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.6%1st Place
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6.97Fordham University1.947.8%1st Place
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9.4Northeastern University1.074.0%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.9%1st Place
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14.03Maine Maritime Academy-0.310.9%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.163.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% |
| Griffin Lapham | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 17.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| James Paul | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 18.6% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.6% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Griffen Horne | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 40.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.