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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.54+8.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy2.05+4.02vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+6.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.86+2.71vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+0.33vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48-1.62vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46+2.81vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.95-1.45vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.62+1.86vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07-0.47vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.73+0.17vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.25-1.61vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.94-5.97vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.16-4.47vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.33-2.62vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-5.75vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.27Tufts University1.543.4%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Military Academy2.059.8%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.084.3%1st Place
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6.71Brown University1.868.6%1st Place
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5.33Boston College2.2012.9%1st Place
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4.38Harvard University2.4818.1%1st Place
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9.81Salve Regina University0.463.3%1st Place
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6.55Boston College1.958.9%1st Place
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10.86Roger Williams University0.623.2%1st Place
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9.53Northeastern University1.074.6%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University0.732.4%1st Place
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10.39Yale University1.252.9%1st Place
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7.03Fordham University1.947.5%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University1.163.5%1st Place
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12.38Dartmouth College0.331.9%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.4%1st Place
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13.97Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryan Trammell | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
James Paul | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Emily Scherer | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
Leyton Borcherding | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Michael Kirkman | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Mitchell Callahan | 18.1% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Emil Tullberg | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Caylin Schnoor | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
Joshua Dillon | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
Liam Lawless | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
Christophe Chaumont | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
Peter Lobaugh | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
Adam Larzelere | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
Griffin Lapham | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 15.4% |
Peter McGonagle | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
Griffen Horne | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.