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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+6.72vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+5.20vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+7.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.81vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+5.08vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04+3.36vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48+0.37vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.33vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.28-0.55vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.14-1.37vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-5.67vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.93-2.43vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-1.80vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.51-6.54vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.71-8.48vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-6.06vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.24-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.03Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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8.63Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.33Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.57College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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11.2Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.46Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.52Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.94Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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14.99Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Heidi Meramo | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Gibson | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 9.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.