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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+3.59vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+4.64vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.94+4.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+5.87vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+0.25vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.86+0.80vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.59+1.64vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.31+6.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy2.05-3.05vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+0.48vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-1.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.62-0.95vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.25-2.68vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.54-4.78vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.73-3.67vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.16-6.43vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.33-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Harvard University2.4816.6%1st Place
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6.64Boston College1.957.4%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University1.948.0%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston College2.2013.2%1st Place
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6.8Brown University1.868.5%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University1.595.0%1st Place
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14.17Maine Maritime Academy-0.310.9%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Military Academy2.0510.6%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.1%1st Place
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9.75Salve Regina University0.464.3%1st Place
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11.05Roger Williams University0.622.1%1st Place
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10.32Yale University1.253.2%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University1.544.2%1st Place
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11.33Northeastern University0.732.9%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University1.165.0%1st Place
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12.21Dartmouth College0.331.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.6% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Griffen Horne | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 40.3% |
| James Paul | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.