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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+5.78vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.81+6.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+2.76vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.87+4.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.29+1.59vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.77+4.87vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+2.47vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-2.03vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-3.50vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.29-4.44vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.30+1.12vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-3.85vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.93-6.31vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98-3.64vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.76Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.29Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.56Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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13.12Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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11.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
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10.58Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Catherine Swanson | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Coupland | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 19.8% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Billing | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Press | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 39.3% |
| Katherine Doble | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 12.5% |
| Erica Lush | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.