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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.83+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.11+2.06vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-0.53+1.75vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.73+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.40-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.86-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.36-0.07vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.27-3.38vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.69+0.01vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-2.60-1.21vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-3.40-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Western Washington University0.8335.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Oregon0.1114.5%1st Place
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4.75Unknown School-0.5310.2%1st Place
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5.36Western Washington University-0.737.2%1st Place
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4.57University of Oregon-0.4010.3%1st Place
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5.5University of Oregon-0.867.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Oregon-1.363.3%1st Place
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4.62Oregon State University-0.279.9%1st Place
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9.01Gonzaga University-2.691.1%1st Place
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8.79Gonzaga University-2.601.2%1st Place
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9.86Gonzaga University-3.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 35.0% | 23.2% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 14.5% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Blaser | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Siena Beckett | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 9.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 19.4% | 30.6% | 23.9% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 23.7% | 28.9% | 18.6% |
| Elias West | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 10.9% | 21.2% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.