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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+3.58vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+7.99vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy2.05+3.06vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.54+5.14vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.94+1.97vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.62+5.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+3.31vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.73+3.31vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.86-2.16vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.59-1.31vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-1.19vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-6.62vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.33-0.77vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.95-7.36vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.25-4.60vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-1.91vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.16-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Harvard University2.4816.7%1st Place
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9.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.8%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Military Academy2.059.6%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University1.544.5%1st Place
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6.97Fordham University1.948.0%1st Place
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11.04Roger Williams University0.622.7%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.7%1st Place
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11.31Northeastern University0.732.9%1st Place
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6.84Brown University1.869.4%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University1.594.3%1st Place
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9.81Salve Regina University0.464.5%1st Place
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5.38Boston College2.2012.0%1st Place
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12.23Dartmouth College0.331.8%1st Place
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6.64Boston College1.958.5%1st Place
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10.4Yale University1.252.9%1st Place
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14.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.310.7%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University1.164.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.7% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| James Paul | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.4% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 16.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Griffen Horne | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 40.2% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.