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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+6.15vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+5.37vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.15vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.93+5.61vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28+3.06vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+1.50vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71-0.47vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58+2.72vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.00vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.04-0.99vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.25vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-2.15vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.81-2.80vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.35-5.94vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.76-4.74vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.14-7.21vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.24-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.15Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.61College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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6.53Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.72Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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9.85Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.2Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.06Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.79Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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15.0Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Gibson | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 8.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Heidi Meramo | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.