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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+7.94vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+7.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.78vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.76+6.31vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.11vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+0.71vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.86vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.28+0.08vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.35-0.87vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.93-0.49vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-0.80vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-2.21vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.51-5.58vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.24+1.02vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.14-6.25vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.58-4.91vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.48-9.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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6.71Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.14Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.08Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.13Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.51College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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10.2Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.79Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.42Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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15.02Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.75Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.09Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Heidi Meramo | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 5.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Kayla Gibson | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Celone | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 59.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.