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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+8.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.54+7.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.86+3.70vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.25+6.26vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48-0.38vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.33+6.24vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.94-0.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+2.73vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy2.05-3.07vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.95-3.44vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.20-5.72vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07-2.65vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-3.19vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.62-2.89vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.73-3.71vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.16-6.52vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.2%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University1.544.3%1st Place
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6.7Brown University1.867.8%1st Place
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10.26Yale University1.253.3%1st Place
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4.62Harvard University2.4817.1%1st Place
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12.24Dartmouth College0.331.9%1st Place
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6.97Fordham University1.948.0%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.9%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Military Academy2.0511.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College1.958.8%1st Place
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5.28Boston College2.2011.8%1st Place
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9.35Northeastern University1.074.7%1st Place
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9.81Salve Regina University0.463.8%1st Place
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11.11Roger Williams University0.622.4%1st Place
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11.29Northeastern University0.732.0%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University1.164.0%1st Place
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14.07Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Scherer | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 17.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 16.5% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
| James Paul | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 8.2% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.