Race 1B

st-mary-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Erika Reineke 17.0% 16.0% 14.9% 13.0% 8.2% 7.4% 5.8% 6.1% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 5.4% 7.2% 6.7% 7.1% 7.1% 6.8% 6.7% 7.8% 8.0% 6.5% 7.5% 6.8% 6.0% 4.8% 3.9% 1.7%
Mariel Marchand 6.1% 5.8% 5.8% 7.8% 5.9% 6.5% 7.6% 7.4% 8.1% 7.7% 9.3% 6.0% 6.0% 4.9% 4.0% 1.1%
Clerc Cooper 10.9% 12.5% 11.4% 9.2% 9.9% 9.7% 7.2% 7.1% 6.9% 5.5% 4.3% 2.9% 1.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Mayumi Roller 9.4% 9.2% 10.0% 9.3% 10.8% 8.8% 7.4% 7.8% 5.9% 6.1% 5.2% 4.4% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Killian Corbishley 3.9% 3.2% 5.1% 6.2% 6.6% 5.8% 7.9% 6.0% 7.4% 7.1% 6.7% 7.8% 6.1% 9.8% 7.1% 3.3%
Solvig Sayre 5.6% 4.5% 5.2% 5.5% 5.4% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 7.7% 6.6% 7.7% 7.3% 8.0% 8.6% 6.9% 3.0%
Marlena Fauer 13.9% 12.4% 11.0% 10.9% 8.8% 10.2% 8.7% 6.6% 5.4% 4.0% 3.3% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Liana Folger 3.3% 5.1% 4.1% 4.0% 4.8% 5.7% 5.5% 7.2% 5.8% 7.9% 7.1% 9.2% 8.9% 8.0% 7.8% 5.6%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.6% 4.7% 5.9% 4.6% 5.8% 5.6% 7.4% 8.7% 7.8% 7.4% 9.1% 8.2% 7.9% 5.4% 4.1% 1.8%
Caitlin Watson 4.2% 4.7% 4.2% 3.8% 5.4% 5.3% 4.9% 6.0% 6.2% 6.6% 7.0% 9.0% 9.5% 9.1% 9.2% 4.9%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 4.8% 5.1% 5.1% 5.5% 6.9% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 5.7% 7.8% 6.4% 6.5% 8.9% 7.5% 6.6% 3.7%
Alexandra Romagnoli 2.5% 2.1% 3.4% 4.4% 4.7% 4.6% 4.7% 5.6% 6.0% 6.9% 7.3% 8.0% 9.0% 10.3% 12.2% 8.3%
Hanne Nagatani 2.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 4.1% 5.9% 3.4% 5.6% 5.9% 6.3% 7.7% 8.7% 11.2% 13.9% 14.0%
Tracy Grim 1.1% 1.8% 0.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 3.6% 3.4% 4.4% 6.4% 7.6% 14.9% 47.5%
Christina Lewis 3.6% 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 5.2% 6.2% 6.0% 5.8% 7.4% 7.4% 7.8% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 7.7% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.