← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College1.95+5.57vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.48+2.42vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+6.85vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Military Academy2.05+1.86vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.20+0.24vs Predicted
-
6Yale University1.25+4.43vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.54+2.13vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.86-1.22vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.07+0.44vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University0.62+1.08vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University0.46-1.36vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-1.65vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.94-5.86vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.16-4.66vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University0.73-3.63vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-1.78vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College0.33-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.57Boston College1.958.9%1st Place
-
4.42Harvard University2.4817.3%1st Place
-
9.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.084.0%1st Place
-
5.86U. S. Military Academy2.0510.7%1st Place
-
5.24Boston College2.2014.0%1st Place
-
10.43Yale University1.252.7%1st Place
-
9.13Tufts University1.544.0%1st Place
-
6.78Brown University1.868.0%1st Place
-
9.44Northeastern University1.073.8%1st Place
-
11.08Roger Williams University0.622.6%1st Place
-
9.64Salve Regina University0.463.6%1st Place
-
10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.0%1st Place
-
7.14Fordham University1.947.5%1st Place
-
9.34Tufts University1.164.7%1st Place
-
11.37Northeastern University0.732.5%1st Place
-
14.22Maine Maritime Academy-0.310.8%1st Place
-
12.15Dartmouth College0.331.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 17.3% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| James Paul | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% |
| Griffen Horne | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 41.8% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.