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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+3.49vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+7.93vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College0.33+9.48vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.95+2.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy2.05+1.02vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.86+0.79vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.59+1.70vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.54+1.27vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.20-3.83vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.73+1.25vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.62-0.06vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.94-4.96vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-3.40vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.31+0.19vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-4.39vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.16-6.51vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.25-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Harvard University2.4817.8%1st Place
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9.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.8%1st Place
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12.48Dartmouth College0.331.9%1st Place
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6.62Boston College1.957.8%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Military Academy2.0510.4%1st Place
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6.79Brown University1.868.3%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University1.594.2%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University1.544.2%1st Place
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5.17Boston College2.2013.5%1st Place
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11.25Northeastern University0.732.2%1st Place
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10.94Roger Williams University0.623.0%1st Place
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7.04Fordham University1.947.6%1st Place
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9.6Salve Regina University0.463.9%1st Place
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14.19Maine Maritime Academy-0.310.6%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.2%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University1.164.1%1st Place
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10.41Yale University1.253.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 17.8% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 16.7% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| James Paul | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Griffen Horne | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 41.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.