Race 4B

st-mary-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Clerc Cooper 11.9% 12.4% 11.7% 10.6% 9.7% 9.4% 7.0% 6.3% 5.6% 4.9% 4.1% 2.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 4.6% 6.2% 5.9% 7.2% 6.2% 5.9% 6.7% 6.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.3% 8.1% 7.1% 6.8% 5.0% 2.6%
Marlena Fauer 13.2% 11.1% 11.0% 9.8% 10.8% 9.7% 8.6% 7.8% 4.9% 4.6% 3.2% 1.8% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Erika Reineke 15.6% 15.4% 12.3% 13.1% 9.6% 7.1% 7.0% 6.7% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Liana Folger 3.3% 4.3% 3.4% 3.6% 4.9% 5.6% 5.0% 5.9% 8.3% 6.9% 6.3% 8.2% 9.1% 10.2% 9.4% 5.6%
Mariel Marchand 4.9% 4.8% 8.0% 6.3% 7.3% 7.8% 6.9% 7.1% 6.8% 6.7% 7.6% 6.7% 6.7% 6.1% 4.5% 1.8%
Mayumi Roller 10.7% 8.5% 8.4% 10.3% 7.9% 7.7% 9.0% 8.0% 6.7% 6.2% 5.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 4.6% 5.8% 5.5% 4.8% 6.3% 5.9% 6.1% 6.7% 5.5% 7.2% 9.3% 8.0% 8.3% 6.3% 6.2% 3.5%
Andrea Luna 5.4% 6.8% 7.3% 4.9% 6.9% 8.1% 7.4% 6.2% 7.6% 7.5% 8.2% 5.9% 6.3% 5.2% 4.3% 2.0%
Hanne Nagatani 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 3.1% 3.7% 4.2% 3.9% 5.6% 5.4% 9.6% 8.4% 10.6% 17.5% 14.5%
Liz Dubovik 5.4% 5.2% 5.2% 4.8% 6.0% 4.3% 6.6% 6.5% 7.4% 6.6% 7.8% 8.4% 9.4% 7.4% 6.2% 2.8%
Killian Corbishley 5.0% 3.8% 4.9% 6.5% 4.7% 6.8% 6.7% 5.7% 6.6% 7.4% 6.4% 7.4% 8.6% 8.7% 6.5% 4.3%
Tracy Grim 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 0.8% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.2% 3.7% 3.1% 4.5% 3.2% 3.9% 8.9% 13.5% 48.3%
Caitlin Watson 4.2% 3.2% 4.3% 4.6% 4.6% 5.9% 5.8% 6.4% 7.3% 6.7% 7.7% 7.8% 8.3% 8.3% 9.0% 5.9%
Christina Lewis 4.0% 4.2% 3.0% 4.2% 5.7% 6.0% 5.7% 6.0% 6.2% 8.1% 7.4% 8.0% 8.7% 9.0% 9.2% 4.6%
Solvig Sayre 3.7% 4.9% 5.4% 5.8% 4.9% 4.8% 6.1% 7.7% 7.9% 7.7% 7.7% 7.6% 8.0% 8.1% 6.3% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.