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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+5.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+7.89vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.54+6.15vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+0.51vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy2.05+1.02vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.94+1.09vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.95-0.30vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.20-2.71vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.25+1.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+0.47vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59-2.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.16-2.54vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.33-0.65vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-4.27vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.73-3.61vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.62-4.98vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Brown University1.868.4%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.6%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University1.544.5%1st Place
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4.51Harvard University2.4817.5%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Military Academy2.059.6%1st Place
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7.09Fordham University1.946.8%1st Place
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6.7Boston College1.958.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College2.2012.6%1st Place
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10.43Yale University1.253.2%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.084.0%1st Place
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8.77Northeastern University1.595.5%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University1.163.9%1st Place
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12.35Dartmouth College0.331.9%1st Place
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9.73Salve Regina University0.463.8%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University0.732.6%1st Place
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11.02Roger Williams University0.622.9%1st Place
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13.99Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 17.5% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 14.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.