Race 5B

st-mary-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Erika Reineke 17.6% 15.6% 13.4% 11.4% 10.7% 7.3% 6.7% 5.3% 5.0% 3.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Sophie Bermudez 3.7% 4.6% 4.4% 5.3% 5.9% 5.4% 5.6% 5.2% 6.6% 9.0% 6.7% 8.0% 7.2% 9.5% 8.0% 4.9%
Solvig Sayre 5.2% 4.1% 4.5% 5.9% 5.3% 5.4% 8.2% 6.0% 7.0% 7.9% 9.0% 8.2% 7.2% 6.5% 6.6% 3.0%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 6.4% 4.8% 5.3% 7.3% 6.7% 6.8% 7.4% 7.9% 7.3% 8.9% 7.5% 7.3% 3.0%
Clerc Cooper 11.3% 12.0% 11.9% 10.8% 10.7% 8.3% 7.2% 6.8% 7.3% 4.6% 3.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Mayumi Roller 8.3% 9.6% 11.1% 9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 7.8% 8.1% 6.7% 5.2% 4.9% 3.9% 3.9% 1.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.6% 6.0% 5.0% 5.4% 5.8% 7.1% 6.9% 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 8.5% 7.2% 7.4% 6.5% 4.7% 2.4%
Killian Corbishley 4.4% 5.2% 5.0% 5.2% 5.9% 7.2% 5.8% 8.1% 5.7% 8.4% 7.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.5% 6.7% 2.7%
Marlena Fauer 13.2% 11.6% 12.0% 12.1% 8.4% 9.2% 7.7% 7.1% 5.7% 3.4% 3.4% 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Alexandra Romagnoli 2.7% 3.7% 3.9% 3.5% 2.5% 4.2% 4.0% 6.1% 4.2% 6.8% 6.8% 10.2% 9.8% 11.5% 12.8% 7.3%
Andrea Luna 7.2% 5.9% 5.5% 6.4% 7.1% 7.4% 6.8% 5.9% 8.3% 7.9% 7.9% 7.8% 6.2% 4.8% 2.8% 2.1%
Liana Folger 4.1% 4.0% 3.6% 4.5% 4.5% 6.6% 7.4% 5.4% 7.2% 5.6% 5.8% 7.1% 9.4% 9.6% 9.5% 5.7%
Mariel Marchand 5.4% 6.0% 7.2% 6.2% 7.7% 6.7% 6.9% 7.5% 7.3% 8.0% 9.4% 5.3% 6.1% 5.1% 3.6% 1.6%
Hanne Nagatani 2.6% 2.3% 2.8% 1.7% 4.2% 4.4% 4.7% 5.0% 5.6% 4.4% 6.2% 8.7% 9.2% 11.7% 13.2% 13.3%
Tracy Grim 1.2% 1.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 2.5% 3.7% 3.7% 5.9% 7.6% 14.4% 48.7%
Christina Lewis 3.7% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 5.8% 5.1% 5.7% 7.5% 6.8% 8.4% 7.2% 9.1% 7.4% 8.8% 7.4% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.