← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.48+3.53vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.95+4.53vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.20+2.32vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.86+2.76vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.94+2.06vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy2.05-0.01vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.54+2.19vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+2.00vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+1.39vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.46-0.25vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University0.73+0.24vs Predicted
-
12Yale University1.25-1.75vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University0.62-1.86vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.16-4.47vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.59-6.33vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy-0.31-1.70vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College0.33-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.53Harvard University2.4817.5%1st Place
-
6.53Boston College1.959.4%1st Place
-
5.32Boston College2.2012.4%1st Place
-
6.76Brown University1.869.6%1st Place
-
7.06Fordham University1.947.5%1st Place
-
5.99U. S. Military Academy2.0510.2%1st Place
-
9.19Tufts University1.544.0%1st Place
-
10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.084.0%1st Place
-
10.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.0%1st Place
-
9.75Salve Regina University0.463.2%1st Place
-
11.24Northeastern University0.733.0%1st Place
-
10.25Yale University1.253.2%1st Place
-
11.14Roger Williams University0.622.2%1st Place
-
9.53Tufts University1.163.9%1st Place
-
8.67Northeastern University1.594.7%1st Place
-
14.3Maine Maritime Academy-0.310.5%1st Place
-
12.35Dartmouth College0.331.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 17.5% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| James Paul | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Liam Lawless | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 8.9% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Griffen Horne | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 42.8% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.