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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+5.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy2.05+3.88vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.94+4.08vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.07+5.57vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48-0.43vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.95+0.52vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.54+2.32vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46+1.72vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.16+0.44vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.20-4.74vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.62-0.07vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.31+2.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-2.68vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.33-1.89vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.25-4.67vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.73-4.73vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Brown University1.868.4%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Military Academy2.0512.2%1st Place
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7.08Fordham University1.948.0%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University1.073.8%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University2.4817.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston College1.958.9%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University1.543.9%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University0.464.2%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University1.163.8%1st Place
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5.26Boston College2.2012.9%1st Place
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10.93Roger Williams University0.622.8%1st Place
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14.13Maine Maritime Academy-0.311.0%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.2%1st Place
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12.11Dartmouth College0.331.8%1st Place
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10.33Yale University1.252.3%1st Place
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11.27Northeastern University0.732.2%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Paul | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Griffen Horne | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 40.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.1% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.