Race 6B

st-mary-womens

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Mary Kate Mezzetti 3.5% 6.4% 6.3% 5.0% 6.2% 6.4% 6.7% 6.5% 7.5% 6.9% 7.6% 7.2% 7.9% 7.7% 5.2% 3.0%
Erika Reineke 18.1% 15.9% 12.0% 12.3% 8.8% 7.8% 6.9% 5.7% 4.7% 3.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Mayumi Roller 10.1% 8.0% 11.5% 9.0% 8.3% 9.7% 9.0% 7.7% 6.7% 6.8% 4.4% 3.9% 2.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3%
Clerc Cooper 11.4% 11.8% 11.1% 9.0% 12.5% 7.7% 8.1% 7.8% 4.9% 6.0% 4.6% 1.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Liana Folger 3.9% 3.7% 3.2% 5.0% 4.6% 5.5% 6.1% 5.5% 7.5% 6.3% 8.0% 8.5% 8.4% 9.4% 8.2% 6.2%
Mariel Marchand 4.8% 5.2% 7.4% 8.5% 6.6% 8.8% 6.5% 5.2% 7.4% 8.2% 6.4% 6.0% 6.7% 6.2% 4.5% 1.6%
Andrea Luna 6.7% 6.4% 4.4% 7.4% 7.8% 6.0% 5.7% 7.9% 7.7% 7.5% 6.4% 7.1% 7.1% 6.3% 4.3% 1.3%
Marlena Fauer 13.9% 11.3% 12.1% 10.5% 8.9% 10.7% 7.6% 7.1% 6.1% 3.2% 3.7% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Solvig Sayre 4.3% 5.5% 5.7% 4.1% 5.0% 6.5% 7.4% 7.6% 7.8% 8.3% 7.3% 6.0% 8.6% 6.2% 5.5% 4.2%
Hanne Nagatani 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 2.3% 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% 4.5% 5.1% 4.6% 7.3% 8.3% 9.7% 12.2% 15.3% 13.1%
Killian Corbishley 5.2% 5.0% 4.6% 5.6% 5.2% 5.6% 6.5% 6.5% 5.7% 7.2% 8.2% 9.3% 7.2% 8.3% 6.7% 3.2%
Alexandra Romagnoli 3.1% 3.4% 3.2% 2.9% 4.3% 4.3% 5.6% 6.4% 6.3% 5.7% 5.9% 7.3% 8.1% 10.6% 13.5% 9.4%
Sophie Bermudez 3.1% 3.7% 5.1% 5.6% 5.3% 5.3% 6.5% 6.1% 6.5% 8.6% 7.6% 7.8% 8.0% 7.1% 8.2% 5.5%
Tracy Grim 0.5% 1.7% 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 1.0% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 3.5% 4.9% 4.6% 6.4% 7.8% 13.9% 45.8%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.6% 5.1% 4.7% 5.5% 7.7% 7.0% 5.6% 7.3% 7.7% 6.6% 7.5% 9.2% 7.6% 5.9% 5.5% 1.5%
Christina Lewis 3.3% 4.1% 4.5% 5.6% 4.4% 4.6% 7.0% 6.2% 6.4% 7.5% 8.5% 8.9% 8.4% 8.4% 7.3% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.