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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.15vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+2.56vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+5.96vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+4.24vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+3.54vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71-0.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.07+3.19vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.73-0.08vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.74-4.55vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-1.31vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.75-4.11vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.58-4.59vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.98-7.04vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.22-2.28vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.59-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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4.56Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.54Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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5.62College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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8.92Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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5.45Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.41Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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13.72Villanova University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 17.0% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 13.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Liana Folger | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Tracy Grim | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 50.3% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.