Race 10B

charleston-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Abby Featherstone 8.5% 11.9% 11.3% 11.5% 11.8% 12.8% 11.7% 9.8% 6.5% 3.8% 0.4%
Sara Morgan Watters 26.7% 21.2% 16.2% 12.3% 9.9% 5.8% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Lauren Burke 6.7% 6.1% 7.9% 7.5% 10.3% 9.1% 10.4% 13.1% 15.0% 11.2% 2.7%
Sara Burke 5.9% 5.8% 4.9% 7.6% 8.8% 8.7% 10.8% 14.1% 15.9% 13.2% 4.3%
Emily Billing 11.3% 11.3% 11.5% 12.1% 10.5% 11.4% 12.1% 7.2% 6.8% 4.7% 1.1%
Francesca Ferrero 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 4.8% 9.0% 74.9%
Morgan Wilson 12.5% 13.4% 13.3% 13.0% 11.5% 11.7% 8.2% 7.8% 4.8% 3.2% 0.6%
Emilie Mademann 7.8% 7.8% 9.3% 9.6% 11.7% 9.9% 12.2% 9.1% 12.5% 8.6% 1.5%
Kathryn Metscher 6.4% 7.6% 8.6% 9.0% 9.4% 11.0% 10.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.8% 1.2%
Corey Hall 11.0% 11.0% 12.0% 11.9% 10.0% 10.9% 10.2% 9.8% 6.2% 6.3% 0.7%
Mary Cummins 2.5% 3.3% 4.1% 4.3% 5.2% 7.0% 7.9% 9.5% 14.6% 29.0% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.