← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Villanova University1.30+12.00vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.39vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.45+3.03vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.81+4.42vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.20+1.94vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.56+3.20vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.93+0.98vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.51-2.27vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.29-2.47vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98+1.32vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.21-0.63vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College3.18-5.00vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.87-4.97vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University3.29-7.56vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.77-3.04vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
13.0Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
-
6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
6.03Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.42Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
6.94College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.2Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
7.98University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
-
5.73Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.53Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
11.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
-
10.37Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
7.0Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
8.03Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
6.44Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
-
11.96University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
-
10.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Press | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 15.5% | 37.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Doble | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Billing | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.1% |
| Erica Lush | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 8.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Catherine Swanson | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Coupland | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 19.7% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.