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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.83+1.48vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.11+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.40+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.36+2.75vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.53-0.22vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.27-1.46vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.73-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.86-2.49vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.60-0.11vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-3.40-0.15vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-2.69-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Western Washington University0.8335.7%1st Place
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4.16University of Oregon0.1114.5%1st Place
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4.67University of Oregon-0.4010.4%1st Place
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6.75University of Oregon-1.363.8%1st Place
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4.78Unknown School-0.539.5%1st Place
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4.54Oregon State University-0.2711.3%1st Place
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5.41Western Washington University-0.736.2%1st Place
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5.51University of Oregon-0.866.2%1st Place
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8.89Gonzaga University-2.601.1%1st Place
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9.85Gonzaga University-3.400.5%1st Place
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8.94Gonzaga University-2.690.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 35.7% | 23.4% | 17.8% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Blaser | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Siena Beckett | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 20.2% | 30.4% | 21.6% |
| Elias West | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 12.2% | 21.4% | 52.8% |
| Kevin McGann | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 19.6% | 30.5% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.