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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.07+10.48vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+4.37vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+1.68vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.51+6.18vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+4.02vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71-0.18vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85+1.82vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.29+2.76vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97-0.46vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-0.83vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.98-2.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.71-2.61vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.74-7.43vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.22+0.43vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.53-4.93vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-5.74vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.59-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.48University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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6.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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4.68Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.82College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.82Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.17Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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5.57Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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14.43Villanova University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.07Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.1% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Grim | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 47.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Liana Folger | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.