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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+3.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+6.19vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+2.53vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+6.01vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+0.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71+3.49vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73+2.25vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74+1.03vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-2.46vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85-1.28vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.07+0.85vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.40-1.54vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.51-2.77vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.75-4.70vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-4.95vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.22-1.63vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.59-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.52College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.25Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.03Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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8.72Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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10.46Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.3Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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14.37Villanova University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 16.9% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 15.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Liana Folger | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Tracy Grim | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 15.7% | 43.7% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.