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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.07+10.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+2.58vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+3.37vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+5.33vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+4.92vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.31vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98+1.30vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+1.85vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.73+0.45vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53-0.10vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-5.25vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-3.22vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.49vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-3.31vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.75-5.87vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.22-1.61vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.59-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.44University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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4.58Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.33Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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5.69Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.45Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.9Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.75College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.78Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.69Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.13Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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14.39Villanova University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Liana Folger | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 12.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Rachel Austin | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Tracy Grim | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 46.3% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.