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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+9.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.71+6.37vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.62vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+4.05vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+2.95vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73+2.27vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.71-2.42vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+1.30vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53-0.06vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-2.55vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-1.09vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.98-4.59vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-3.77vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-8.57vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.22-1.59vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.59-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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11.63University of Hawaii2.070.0%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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5.62Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.05Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.95Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.27Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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5.58College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.94Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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6.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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14.41Villanova University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 18.9% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 12.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 13.1% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Liana Folger | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Tracy Grim | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 45.3% |
| Christina Lewis | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.