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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.61vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+9.88vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93+10.78vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.74+1.91vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.43vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University4.01+2.99vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.95+2.44vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98+0.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-3.14vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.24+2.40vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.86+3.11vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-3.23vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.22vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-2.72vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.93-1.34vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.16-3.28vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-7.89vs Predicted
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18Washington College3.07-4.71vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.61vs Predicted
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20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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13.78University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.99Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.44College of Charleston3.950.0%1st Place
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8.76Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.86Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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12.4Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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11.28University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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12.72Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.29Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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10.39U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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13.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Hecht | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.4% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ben Spector | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Colin Smith | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 15.9% |
| William Haeger | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Will Stocke | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| James Simmons | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| Michael Grove | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Bates | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.