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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+8.42vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.38vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.95+5.16vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+3.95vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan2.86+8.18vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36+3.67vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.93+4.74vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.24+2.48vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16+1.81vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93+1.96vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.71-6.75vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-2.81vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-5.56vs Predicted
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16Tufts University4.08-7.39vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University4.01-8.29vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.47vs Predicted
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19Washington College3.07-5.94vs Predicted
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20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.16College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.95Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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14.18University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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6.12Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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12.48Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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12.81Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.19University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.71Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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13.06Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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13.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Grove | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Ben Spector | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 14.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.4% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% |
| James Simmons | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 15.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| William Haeger | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.