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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+8.00vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+3.86vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.95+6.29vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+2.00vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.17vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+5.43vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.36+5.19vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08+0.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+4.61vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University4.01-1.16vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.86+3.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.37vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-6.04vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-4.57vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.07-1.93vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.16-3.29vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California2.93-3.39vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.93-4.16vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-9.70vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College3.24-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.29College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.43University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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13.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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14.13University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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6.96Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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13.07Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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12.71Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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13.84University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.54Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Will Stocke | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| William Haeger | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Bates | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 16.6% |
| Michael Grove | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Graham Landy | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% |
| James Simmons | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.