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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon0.11+3.19vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-0.27+2.57vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.40+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.36+2.91vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.53-0.24vs Predicted
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6Gonzaga University-2.69+3.02vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.73-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.86-2.50vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.60-0.20vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-3.40-0.13vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.83-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Oregon0.1113.2%1st Place
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4.57Oregon State University-0.2710.7%1st Place
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4.59University of Oregon-0.4011.2%1st Place
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6.91University of Oregon-1.362.9%1st Place
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4.76Unknown School-0.5310.2%1st Place
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9.02Gonzaga University-2.690.9%1st Place
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5.22Western Washington University-0.738.2%1st Place
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5.5University of Oregon-0.867.3%1st Place
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8.8Gonzaga University-2.601.0%1st Place
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9.87Gonzaga University-3.400.8%1st Place
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2.55Western Washington University0.8333.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emily Avey | 13.2% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Rowan Clinch | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Molly McLeod | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 22.7% | 19.8% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
Hunter Wheaton | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Kevin McGann | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 34.6% | 21.4% |
Calvin Blaser | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Siena Beckett | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Gabi Feleciano | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 22.1% | 27.8% | 21.1% |
Elias West | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 11.0% | 21.2% | 54.2% |
Alexander Turloff | 33.7% | 23.1% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.