← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire0.68+3.25vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+3.67vs Predicted
-
3Williams College-1.12+6.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont0.54+0.35vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.83-0.84vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University-0.58+1.58vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.25vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-0.36-1.08vs Predicted
-
9Bentley University-0.46-2.03vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-1.54+0.36vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-3.05vs Predicted
-
12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.83vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College-1.76-2.12vs Predicted
-
14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.25University of New Hampshire0.6815.6%1st Place
-
5.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.039.3%1st Place
-
9.22Williams College-1.122.7%1st Place
-
4.35University of Vermont0.5416.0%1st Place
-
4.16Salve Regina University0.8317.6%1st Place
-
7.58Northeastern University-0.584.9%1st Place
-
7.25University of New Hampshire-0.005.6%1st Place
-
6.92McGill University-0.366.2%1st Place
-
6.97Bentley University-0.467.0%1st Place
-
10.36University of New Hampshire-1.542.3%1st Place
-
7.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.674.8%1st Place
-
10.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.4%1st Place
-
10.88Middlebury College-1.762.6%1st Place
-
9.28University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.773.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 15.6% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| Luke Quine | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 17.6% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| James Sullivan | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Dane Phippen | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 21.3% |
| Caleb Burt | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 17.6% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 29.0% |
| Kate Myler | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.