← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.95+8.26vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.98+7.13vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.55+3.84vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.58vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University4.08+3.66vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.64vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida3.49+4.72vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+1.26vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.79+0.94vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan2.86+4.23vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University4.01-1.90vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California2.93+2.16vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College3.24-0.07vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University4.71-7.95vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University4.74-8.98vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-2.23vs Predicted
-
17Washington College3.07-3.86vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island2.93-3.98vs Predicted
-
19U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.53vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin3.36-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.26College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.13Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
6.84Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
8.66Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
-
11.72University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
-
9.94Harvard University3.790.0%1st Place
-
14.23University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
-
9.1Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
14.16University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
-
12.93Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
6.05Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
6.02Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
-
13.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
-
13.14Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
-
14.02University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
10.47U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
12.1University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Colin Smith | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Graham Landy | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| William Haeger | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Will Stocke | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Hecht | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 15.6% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.6% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% |
| Michael Grove | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.