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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.68+3.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+3.42vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.54+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.00+3.10vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.83-0.85vs Predicted
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6Williams College-1.12+3.25vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.54+3.41vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.46-1.04vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.36-2.13vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-2.13vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-1.62vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.58-4.44vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.76-2.05vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of New Hampshire0.6816.8%1st Place
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5.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0310.6%1st Place
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4.62University of Vermont0.5413.2%1st Place
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7.1University of New Hampshire-0.006.8%1st Place
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4.15Salve Regina University0.8317.6%1st Place
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9.25Williams College-1.122.4%1st Place
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10.41University of New Hampshire-1.541.9%1st Place
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6.96Bentley University-0.466.7%1st Place
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6.87McGill University-0.367.0%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.675.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.9%1st Place
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7.56Northeastern University-0.585.5%1st Place
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10.95Middlebury College-1.761.8%1st Place
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10.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 16.8% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Luke Quine | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 17.6% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 21.1% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Burt | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Kate Myler | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 28.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.