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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+7.72vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+7.55vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+5.15vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+1.07vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.88vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-1.44vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.74-3.11vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.79+0.06vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.49+0.50vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.86+2.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+1.11vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University4.01-5.01vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.07-1.74vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.24-3.52vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California2.93-3.31vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.93-4.00vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston3.95-9.78vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin3.36-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.15Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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6.56Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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5.89Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.06Harvard University3.790.0%1st Place
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11.5University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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14.44University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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14.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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8.99Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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13.26Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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12.48Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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13.69University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.22College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Colin Smith | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Michael Grove | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Graham Landy | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Will Stocke | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 18.4% |
| Andrew Bates | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 15.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% |
| Matthew Hecht | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% |
| James Simmons | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 14.0% |
| Ben Spector | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.