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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.68+3.22vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.83+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.54+1.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.56vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.12+4.32vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.16vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University-0.58+0.49vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.36-1.03vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.76+1.91vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.76vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.46-4.04vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.54-1.53vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-5.17vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of New Hampshire0.6815.8%1st Place
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4.13Salve Regina University0.8317.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Vermont0.5414.4%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0310.0%1st Place
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9.32Williams College-1.123.9%1st Place
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7.16University of New Hampshire-0.006.2%1st Place
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7.49Northeastern University-0.585.7%1st Place
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6.97McGill University-0.366.8%1st Place
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10.91Middlebury College-1.761.9%1st Place
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9.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.773.0%1st Place
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6.96Bentley University-0.465.7%1st Place
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10.47University of New Hampshire-1.541.8%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.675.2%1st Place
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10.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 17.1% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% |
| James Sullivan | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 28.6% |
| Kate Myler | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% |
| Dane Phippen | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 22.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.