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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.83+3.19vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+3.56vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.46+3.86vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.36+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.54-0.58vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.68-1.86vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.86vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.54+1.32vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-0.58-2.57vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.12-1.94vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-3.00vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.76-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Salve Regina University0.8318.2%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.039.6%1st Place
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6.86Bentley University-0.466.0%1st Place
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6.97McGill University-0.366.7%1st Place
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4.42University of Vermont0.5415.3%1st Place
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4.14University of New Hampshire0.6818.4%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.674.7%1st Place
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7.14University of New Hampshire-0.006.1%1st Place
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10.32University of New Hampshire-1.541.8%1st Place
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7.43Northeastern University-0.584.5%1st Place
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9.06Williams College-1.123.2%1st Place
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9.0University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.9%1st Place
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10.69Middlebury College-1.761.9%1st Place
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11.57University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.100.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 18.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dane Phippen | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Luke Quine | 15.3% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 18.4% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| James Sullivan | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 17.2% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
| Kate Myler | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 7.3% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 22.2% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.