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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.27+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.11+2.19vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.36+3.77vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.86+1.53vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.53-0.23vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.83-3.52vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.40-2.41vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.73-2.65vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.60-0.06vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-2.69-1.04vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-3.40-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Oregon State University-0.279.7%1st Place
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4.19University of Oregon0.1112.8%1st Place
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6.77University of Oregon-1.364.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Oregon-0.867.0%1st Place
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4.77Unknown School-0.538.9%1st Place
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2.48Western Washington University0.8335.8%1st Place
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4.59University of Oregon-0.4010.8%1st Place
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5.35Western Washington University-0.738.2%1st Place
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8.94Gonzaga University-2.600.9%1st Place
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8.96Gonzaga University-2.691.2%1st Place
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9.88Gonzaga University-3.400.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Tossavainen | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Siena Beckett | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Turloff | 35.8% | 24.3% | 17.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Blaser | 8.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 21.6% | 30.2% | 21.1% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 21.2% | 30.5% | 22.2% |
| Elias West | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 11.8% | 21.7% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.