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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+7.32vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+4.91vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+4.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.37+5.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+6.19vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+1.88vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.11-0.19vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51+0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.85+3.03vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45+3.90vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.18-0.25vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.66vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.98-1.07vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-1.74vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-3.66vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.80-8.20vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.63-0.31vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.89-5.96vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.95vs Predicted
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20University of South Florida3.24-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.44Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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11.19Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.88Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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8.97Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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13.9Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Rhode Island3.180.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.93Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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12.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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7.8Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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16.69University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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12.04Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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15.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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10.58University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Hutchings | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% |
| Alex Whipple | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Mary Hall | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kara Voss | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 39.0% |
| Tony Collins | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Samuel Watterson | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.