← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Saint Thomas0.99+2.13vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University0.80+1.43vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.20-0.26vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-0.09+0.94vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University0.68-1.35vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.38-0.59vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota-0.55-1.32vs Predicted
-
8University of Saint Thomas-1.64-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.13University of Saint Thomas0.9920.0%1st Place
-
3.43Michigan Technological University0.8017.8%1st Place
-
2.74University of Wisconsin1.2027.7%1st Place
-
4.94Marquette University-0.097.6%1st Place
-
3.65Northwestern University0.6814.8%1st Place
-
5.41Northwestern University-0.385.4%1st Place
-
5.68University of Minnesota-0.554.9%1st Place
-
7.02University of Saint Thomas-1.641.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 20.0% | 22.1% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Nick Myneni | 17.8% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 27.7% | 24.0% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Eli Erling | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 7.5% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 14.8% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| George Warfel | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 23.7% | 13.5% |
| Isaac Sparber | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 21.1% | 27.7% | 15.3% |
| Phillip Thoma | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.