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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+7.29vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+4.87vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.85+9.29vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan3.02+7.39vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.51+4.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.19vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.98+4.90vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80-0.31vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.45+4.81vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.37-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.24-0.52vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-0.51vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.11-6.10vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-1.77vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.89-3.06vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-8.28vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.63-0.35vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-2.77vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University3.95-11.83vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island3.18-9.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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9.17Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.9Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.69Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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13.81Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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11.49Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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12.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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11.94Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.72Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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16.65University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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15.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Alex Post | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Mary Hall | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 9.9% |
| William Hutchings | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% |
| Tony Collins | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kara Voss | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 39.8% |
| Samuel Watterson | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 17.7% | 20.1% |
| William Macdonald | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Whipple | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.