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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.80+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.99+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.20-0.21vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.68-0.36vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.09-0.11vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.38-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.55-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-1.64-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Michigan Technological University0.8019.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Saint Thomas0.9921.3%1st Place
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2.79University of Wisconsin1.2027.1%1st Place
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3.64Northwestern University0.6815.0%1st Place
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4.89Marquette University-0.096.7%1st Place
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5.38Northwestern University-0.385.3%1st Place
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5.71University of Minnesota-0.554.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Saint Thomas-1.641.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Nick Myneni | 19.1% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
Rachel Bartel | 21.3% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Gavin Dempsey | 27.1% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Nicholas Chesemore | 15.0% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
Eli Erling | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 6.9% |
George Warfel | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 24.0% | 12.5% |
Isaac Sparber | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 27.4% | 16.2% |
Phillip Thoma | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 16.8% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.