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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+8.62vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+5.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.28vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+7.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+3.20vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.24+4.37vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.18+3.83vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.11-1.65vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.85+2.93vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-3.15vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.51-1.88vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-4.09vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.80-4.90vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.89-2.21vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-3.64vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.63+0.39vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-3.45vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-5.72vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan3.02-7.87vs Predicted
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20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.62Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.1Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.2Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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6.35College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.12Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.91Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.1Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.79Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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11.36Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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16.39University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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13.55Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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17.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| William Macdonald | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Kara Voss | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 22.2% | 28.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 18.5% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.