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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.20+1.79vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.99+1.15vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.80+0.42vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.68-0.36vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.09-0.08vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.38-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.55-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-1.64-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Wisconsin1.2026.7%1st Place
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3.15University of Saint Thomas0.9921.0%1st Place
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3.42Michigan Technological University0.8017.1%1st Place
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3.64Northwestern University0.6815.8%1st Place
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4.92Marquette University-0.097.4%1st Place
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5.39Northwestern University-0.385.5%1st Place
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5.6University of Minnesota-0.554.9%1st Place
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7.09University of Saint Thomas-1.641.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Dempsey | 26.7% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 21.0% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Nick Myneni | 17.1% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 15.8% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Eli Erling | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 8.4% |
| George Warfel | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 25.8% | 12.0% |
| Isaac Sparber | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 19.7% | 26.9% | 15.0% |
| Phillip Thoma | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 16.8% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.