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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.99+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+0.61vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.68+0.36vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.80-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.55-0.02vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.38-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-1.64-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Saint Thomas0.9921.8%1st Place
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2.61University of Wisconsin1.2028.7%1st Place
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3.36Northwestern University0.6817.0%1st Place
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3.13Michigan Technological University0.8019.5%1st Place
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4.98University of Minnesota-0.555.8%1st Place
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4.84Northwestern University-0.385.7%1st Place
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6.21University of Saint Thomas-1.641.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 21.8% | 22.9% | 22.2% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 28.7% | 23.5% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 17.0% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 1.9% |
| Nick Myneni | 19.5% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Isaac Sparber | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 31.8% | 17.6% |
| George Warfel | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 22.8% | 27.7% | 15.0% |
| Phillip Thoma | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 17.5% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.