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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.97vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.98+9.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+5.39vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.18+6.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+7.13vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan3.02+5.30vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+4.35vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.24+1.20vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45+3.77vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-4.06vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.11-5.35vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.82-4.95vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.85-2.00vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.89-3.21vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.95-8.84vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.37-7.56vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.51-8.90vs Predicted
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19University of Miami1.63-2.56vs Predicted
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20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.42Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.39Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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12.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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11.3University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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11.35Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.62Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.2University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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13.77Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.94St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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6.65College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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8.05Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.0University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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11.79Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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9.1Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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16.44University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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17.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Whipple | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 7.6% |
| Fletcher Sims | 11.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Tony Collins | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| William Macdonald | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Hutchings | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Alex Post | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kara Voss | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 23.3% | 27.5% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 17.6% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.