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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.20+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.99+0.87vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.80+0.05vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.68-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas-1.64+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.55-0.98vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.38-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of Wisconsin1.2029.3%1st Place
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2.87University of Saint Thomas0.9923.2%1st Place
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3.05Michigan Technological University0.8020.8%1st Place
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3.38Northwestern University0.6814.8%1st Place
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6.28University of Saint Thomas-1.641.4%1st Place
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5.02University of Minnesota-0.555.2%1st Place
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4.84Northwestern University-0.385.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Dempsey | 29.3% | 24.6% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bartel | 23.2% | 23.3% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Nick Myneni | 20.8% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 14.8% | 17.5% | 20.5% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Phillip Thoma | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 16.7% | 66.0% |
| Isaac Sparber | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 33.5% | 17.6% |
| George Warfel | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 23.2% | 30.4% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.