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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.99+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+0.55vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.68+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.55+0.97vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.80-1.88vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-1.64+0.24vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.38-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Saint Thomas0.9924.0%1st Place
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2.55University of Wisconsin1.2028.9%1st Place
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3.41Northwestern University0.6815.5%1st Place
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4.97University of Minnesota-0.555.9%1st Place
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3.12Michigan Technological University0.8018.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Saint Thomas-1.641.8%1st Place
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4.87Northwestern University-0.385.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rachel Bartel | 24.0% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
Gavin Dempsey | 28.9% | 25.8% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Nicholas Chesemore | 15.5% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
Isaac Sparber | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 31.4% | 17.1% |
Nick Myneni | 18.1% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
Phillip Thoma | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 17.0% | 64.6% |
George Warfel | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 22.2% | 31.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.