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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+5.81vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+7.13vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.30+10.13vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+2.19vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+0.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.55vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.200.00vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81+0.15vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-0.95vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29-3.42vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98+0.18vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.77-0.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.93-5.18vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.51vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.21-4.39vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.29-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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13.13Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.19Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.0College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.05Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.58Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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10.61Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Doble | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Lindsey Press | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 38.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Emily Billing | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.6% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 21.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 7.2% |
| Erica Lush | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 7.5% |
| Catherine Swanson | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.