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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.84+9.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+6.07vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.11vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+3.72vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.91+5.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.90+4.11vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.05-1.39vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.71+3.18vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-2.98vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.70+0.91vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.39-2.95vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.53+0.10vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-5.25vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.28-1.19vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-6.73vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-6.54vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.77-6.25vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-4.37vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan-0.78-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.5Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.72University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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5.61College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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11.18Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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6.02Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.91Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.05Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.81University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.75Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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13.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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18.53University of Michigan-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Bailey | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Wheeler Morris | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 1.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 0.4% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 21.7% | 3.4% |
| Braden Engstrom | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 89.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.