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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+6.42vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+9.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+10.80vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+4.20vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+3.24vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.04+3.78vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39+1.43vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.05-1.95vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.31vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.91+0.39vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.70+0.31vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.10vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.28-0.21vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.89-7.53vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.78vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.41-7.88vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.84-6.30vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.71-6.81vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan-0.78-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.12Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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13.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.24University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.05College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.39Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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11.31Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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6.47Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.7Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.19Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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18.56University of Michigan-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 0.3% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 15.2% | 26.2% | 4.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Joseph David | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 2.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 0.4% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 0.5% |
| Braden Engstrom | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 89.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.