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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.05+4.68vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+6.05vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+5.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+3.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+2.38vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+0.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.90+3.29vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.77+3.06vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota2.53+2.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+3.63vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.41-2.91vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.84-1.12vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.28-0.40vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.70-2.79vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.91-4.94vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.71-5.05vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-7.36vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-9.73vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan-0.78-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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8.05Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.72University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.14Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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11.06Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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13.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.88Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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11.21Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.95Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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18.52University of Michigan-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enrique Arathoon | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 13.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 0.8% |
| Wheeler Morris | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 1.6% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 24.3% | 3.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 0.8% |
| Joseph David | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Charles Nunn | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Braden Engstrom | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 89.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.