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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+7.02vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+5.12vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.02vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.84+6.53vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.70+6.24vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+1.62vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.89-0.92vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.77+3.04vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.71+1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.53+1.72vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.39-2.97vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+2.08vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-5.40vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.28-1.11vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.91-5.02vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.90-5.95vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-7.44vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-9.86vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan0.41-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.53Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.24Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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7.62University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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11.04Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.71Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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8.03Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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14.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.89University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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9.98Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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17.54University of Michigan0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Wheeler Morris | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 24.6% | 9.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 6.0% |
| Joseph David | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Austin Stevens | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.