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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+7.17vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+5.88vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+3.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.41+4.11vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+2.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+7.56vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.77+3.95vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.05-2.08vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.71+1.90vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.28+2.88vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.53+0.91vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.23vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-5.20vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-4.16vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.91-4.85vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.90-5.78vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.84-6.47vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.70-6.93vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan0.41-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.88University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.32Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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13.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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10.95Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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5.92College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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10.9Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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11.91University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.15Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.53Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.07Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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17.59University of Michigan0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 10.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 6.3% |
| Wheeler Morris | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Joseph David | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Austin Stevens | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.