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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+6.39vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+6.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+3.42vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.41+4.25vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+3.18vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.28+6.79vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.90+2.67vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.71+1.99vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-1.90vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.05-5.29vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.77-0.61vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.53-1.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+0.06vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.70-3.87vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.90vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.84-6.33vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-8.30vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan0.41-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.44Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.42Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.18University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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8.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.99Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.71College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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11.39Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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14.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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11.13Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.67Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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17.59University of Michigan0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 6.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Charles Nunn | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Wheeler Morris | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 10.5% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| David Alfonso | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Austin Stevens | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 10.9% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.