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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+9.00vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+6.50vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.77vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+4.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41+3.58vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.77+5.01vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.71+4.43vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89-1.35vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.53+2.09vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.43-2.71vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.70-0.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+0.85vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.64-6.45vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston4.05-9.18vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.91-5.60vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.90-6.43vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.84-7.24vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan0.41-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.0University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.5Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.01Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.43Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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6.65Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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12.09University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.79Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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13.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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7.55Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.82College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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10.4Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.76Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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17.67University of Michigan0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Trepton | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 2.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Wheeler Morris | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 2.2% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 21.2% | 10.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 14.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Austin Stevens | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 10.4% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.