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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+5.38vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.29vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+4.44vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.05+1.71vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.81vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.77+4.87vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+1.30vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.71+3.40vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49-1.17vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84+0.71vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.70+0.23vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.39-3.33vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.53-1.20vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.41-5.64vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.28-2.22vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.91-5.75vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-3.12vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-8.30vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan0.41-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.71College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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10.87Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.4Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.83University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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10.71Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.23Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.67Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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10.25Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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13.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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17.6University of Michigan0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 11.9% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Wheeler Morris | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 6.7% |
| Joseph David | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 20.8% | 10.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Austin Stevens | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.