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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.87+6.93vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+3.82vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.93+4.87vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.77+7.94vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+1.12vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+1.01vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.30+6.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-1.67vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.29-2.46vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.21+0.52vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-1.83vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.18-5.04vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98-1.78vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.55vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.29-8.36vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.81-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.82Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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6.12Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.01College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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13.17Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.54Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.52Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.17Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corina Radtke | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 21.6% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Press | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 39.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Billing | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Erica Lush | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| Katherine Doble | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.8% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
| Catherine Swanson | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.