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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.83+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.40+2.53vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.11+1.24vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.53+0.68vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.27-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.98-0.25vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.73-1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.36-1.23vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.69+0.01vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-2.60-1.11vs Predicted
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11Gonzaga University-3.40-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Western Washington University0.8335.8%1st Place
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4.53University of Oregon-0.4010.5%1st Place
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4.24University of Oregon0.1112.8%1st Place
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4.68Unknown School-0.5310.4%1st Place
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4.57Oregon State University-0.2710.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Oregon-0.986.1%1st Place
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5.28Western Washington University-0.737.7%1st Place
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6.77University of Oregon-1.364.1%1st Place
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9.01Gonzaga University-2.691.4%1st Place
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8.89Gonzaga University-2.600.6%1st Place
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9.83Gonzaga University-3.400.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 35.8% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Euseekers Williams | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Calvin Blaser | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Molly McLeod | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 21.8% | 29.5% | 23.6% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 21.6% | 29.8% | 20.6% |
| Elias West | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 22.3% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.