← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida3.49+6.96vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.89+4.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota2.53+8.99vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.41+4.27vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.70+6.50vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin3.04+3.69vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.43+1.26vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.39+0.61vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.91+1.16vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami2.28+2.88vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.47vs Predicted
-
12Washington College2.84-0.93vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.64-5.90vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston4.05-8.11vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.88vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.77-5.17vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-3.25vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy2.90-7.64vs Predicted
-
19University of Michigan-0.78-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.96University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
6.46Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
11.99University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
-
8.27Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
11.5Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
-
9.69University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
-
8.26Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.61Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
10.16Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
-
12.88University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
-
8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
11.07Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
7.1Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
5.89College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
-
8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
10.83Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
13.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
-
10.36U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
18.56University of Michigan-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wheeler Morris | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 1.6% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 0.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph David | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 0.2% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 27.2% | 3.5% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Braden Engstrom | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 4.5% | 89.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.