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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.15+4.56vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+2.55vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+2.96vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.41+2.90vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36-0.80vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-3.27vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-4.27vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82-2.40vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29-1.63vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36-2.96vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-1.56vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.32-1.82vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.25-5.31vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.22-6.25vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.38-5.04vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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5.96Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.9Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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5.2Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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3.73Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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3.73Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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6.6Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.37Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.04Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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11.18Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University2.250.0%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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10.96Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tamblyn | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 14.5% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 19.7% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 19.7% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 23.1% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Denney | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 22.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 10.4% | 72.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.