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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+2.72vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.25+5.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+2.58vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03+1.00vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88-2.28vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.32+4.11vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.15-2.35vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60+1.29vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.41-2.00vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-2.68vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.51-7.30vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.22-4.39vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-5.67vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.36-9.76vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.38-5.98vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University2.250.0%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.0Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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3.72Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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11.11Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.65Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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8.0Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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8.32Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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8.33Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.24Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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11.02Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 22.1% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Denney | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 22.1% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 25.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 12.8% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 22.9% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 73.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.